WHO KILLED JOSEPH?

So, if you want to get me fired up - bring this question up and throw John Taylor and Brigham Young under the bus.  I will instantly be on a trajectory to the moon....

I had that question from a commenter (they just wanted to know my opinion and were not trying to sell anyone on that tripe):

   What is your take on the movie "who killed joseph smith" and www.hemlockknots.com? 

First of all, I do not like Hemlock knots as it has all the markers of an anti site.

It basically takes many half-truths and then flings them around with a bunch of poo.  And that stuff triggers me.  Bigtime.  I am a "victim" of false information spreading and nothing pisses me off more than bearing false witness (intended, or unintentional).  Once you release the poo in a small or large fashion, it is 100% impossible to pull it back.  Once the damage is done, it is done.  Some of it minor; some of it not.

I just shared with some co-workers my Boeing experience with my name getting dragged through the mud.  I never recovered from it, because to clear my name, I had to raise hell and basically put the screws to my first and second level managers.  The very people who determined my future raises and growth within the company.  They were trying to defend an employee that had been there 40 years from getting fired (he was the SME on the 747 Wing to Body Join and I had to call him several times in the night on several key joins because he was the only one across the enterprise that knew that particular dance inside and out) - and I was the fall guy or sacrificial lamb that got sucked into the mess I did not create nor start.  It ended up being a good thing because eventually, I left the company and my work situation is much better and I am out of the Seattle area which has turned into a liberal hell-hole, much like Detroit started out in the 60's when the liberals took over.  Just like Venezuela, Cuba, etc etc.  How is that marxist utopia working out for everyone?  Haha!  SMH...

And then there was the other reason I got the heck out of the West Coast and that was when my personal reputation got dragged through the mud (again, not on purpose - but the social wreckage was enormous).  My older two kids still think I left for Elenin and concern over a West Coast catastrophe - which will still happen, but not due to the cometary perturbations as it appeared back in 2011.  That was the excuse, the reason was I had one objective - and that was to clean the slate and start over in a socially clean format in Montana and to try and right my wife's health issues by cleaner living and eating organic (nutrition, etc).

Sooo..... long story short.  From 1820 and on, Joseph Smith was constantly under reputation and bodily  harrassment and damage control (not that he cared - but it did affect him and he did flee to attempt to right it.  Now, some chump comes out and makes a movie saying that Brigham Young was the main conspirator to take him down and take control of the Church.....  So. Much. Rubbish.

Brigham was far from perfect - but anyone who takes a pot shot at him had better be ready to face both he and Joseph in a very serious judgment bar situation.  I infiltrated the group that was pushing that $h!# and I can tell you that the two main purveyors have a grey countenance and are headed to a hellish one if they do not speedily repent.  I can promise you that I will be there in the nosebleeds when that little detail goes down and it will be nice to see them sent off for some time in the spiritual pokey for the confused but good people they have taken down.  The problem is that they can not easily undo the damage to reputation that their character assassination did at a time when many were questioning due to the Church's stance on the jabberwonky, poison crap.  The number of people alone that I know that have developed everything from blood clots to stroke to death and all points in between like colitis and other rare and weird conditions just boggles the mind; NO, it is not either safe, nor effective.  It is as safe and effective as Brigham and John Taylor were in on the Carthage debacle.  And, the DoC, like the wolves that they are, pounced on the unsuspecting and disenfranchised with prejudice.  That very thing will come back upon their heads ten-fold.  A generation of vipers shall not escape the damnations of hell.

I hope I was not ambiguous in my answer.... ;)

CHILDREN OF THE ARK WARMED OVER

 Let’s try this again…

VIOLENCE AGAINST CHRISTIANS FINALLY TO BEGIN?

 One of the prophecies I have had a hard time swallowing was that we would experience violence against our people once again.  It just has not seemed probable up until lately.

Well, it seems like the antifa marxist goons are going to be up to their old tricks once again:

CHILDREN OF THE ARK?

 I always assumed 8 got on and 8 disembarked.

According to this, that is a solid no  - and it makes sense.  What else are you to do as the novelty of the world’s first cruise ship with all you can eat bbq wears off?

Also related to disembark and interesting is the Latin word for boat:  barco whose root word is arc.

Much like the Chinese characters, our linguistic origins are hidden in our words.

THE SECOND COMFORTER AND THE MILLENNIUM

 Great quote on how things will be:

THE BEAR THREATENS THE LION?

Whoa, I never thought I would see the day that I would see direct threats from Russia about direct nuclear attacks on Britain (also a nuclear nation).

Yikes!  Folks, it is gettin' real out there on the geo-political stage - and Joseph Smith said that this was one of the last events to occur before the advent of Jesus Christ.  So, that plus extreme drought (lack of a rainbow) right before the Second Coming and obvious war (provoking of the Bear) is kind of lining up.  I have seen the small scale nuking of HAFB in vision.  This likely will be part of this surprise attack.  

Time to get ready?  I think so.

https://www.news.com.au/world/europe/close-ally-calls-on-vladimir-putin-to-strike-london-first-in-wwii-on-russian-media/news-story/b4025f801f9966ffa35e3595aaf79553 

HIDDEN ECONOMIC FORCES

 Folks, in my work in aerospace structures, I often had to observe deformation or change in structure in one area to track down the root cause of some change in another area.  I called this “running to ground”.  It is the same thing that is done in electrical troubleshooting to mail down the cause of a problem.

In trying to read the “tea leaves” of international political intrigue, the same sleuthing must be applied.  We are functionally completely bankrupt and this analysis is bang on other than leaving out why we invaded Iraq, Libya and Syria who were all holdouts to the international banking cartels.

Here is some great analysis that I snagged off the interwebs:

World War 3 for dummies

54776 ViewsJune 18, 2022 200 Comments

By Gaius Baltar for the Saker Blog

Some knowledgeable people, apparently including the Pope, are beginning to suspect that there may be more going on in the world than just the war in the Ukraine. They say that World War 3 has already started and things will get worse from now on. This can be difficult to determine while we are participating in the unfolding events and do not have the benefit of the historical perspective. It is doubtful that people back in 1939 realized that they were looking at the start of a major worldwide conflict, although some may have suspected it.

The current global situation is in many ways like a giant jigsaw puzzle where the general public only sees a tiny part of the complete picture. Most don’t even realize that there may be more pieces and don’t even ask these simple questions: Why is all this happening and why is it happening now?

Things are more complicated than most people realize. What they see is the evil wizard Vladimir Saruman Putin invading innocent Ukraine with his orc army – for absolutely no reason. This is a simplistic view, to say the least because nothing happens without a reason. Let’s put things in perspective and see what is really going on – and why the world is going crazy before our eyes. Let’s see what World War 3 is all about.

The pressure cooker

The West (which we can define here as the US and the EU and a few more) has been maintaining pressure on the entire world for decades. This does not only apply to countries outside the West, but also to Western countries which strayed from the diktats of the West’s rulers. This pressure has been discussed widely and attributed to all kinds of motives, including neocolonialism, forced financial hegemony, and so forth. What is interesting, particularly during the last 20 years, is which countries have been pressured and what they do not have in common.

Among the pressured countries we find Russia, China, Cuba, Venezuela, Libya, Syria, Serbia, Thailand, and Iran to mention a few. There have also been recent additions, including India and Hungary. In order to understand why they have been pressured, we need to find out what they have in common. That’s not easy since they are extremely different in most ways. There are democracies and non-democracies, conservative and communist governments, Christian, Muslim and Buddhist countries, and so on. Still, many of them are very clearly allied. One must ask why conservative and religious countries such as Russia or Iran would ally themselves with Godless communists in Cuba and Venezuela.

What all these countries have in common is their desire to run their own affairs; to be independent countries. This is unforgivable in the eyes of the West and must be tackled by any means necessary, including economic sanctions, color revolutions, and outright military aggression.

The West and its NATO military arm had surrounded Russia with hostile countries and military bases, armed and manipulated Ukraine to be used as a hammer against it, and employed sanctions and threats. The same thing was and is happening in Asia where China is being surrounded by all means available. The same applies to all the Independents mentioned above to some extent. In the past 10 years or so the pressure has increased massively on the Independents and it reached almost a fever pitch in the year before the Russian invasion of the Ukraine.

During the year before the Ukraine war, the US sent its diplomats around the world to tune up the pressure. They were like a traveling circus or a rock band on a tour, but instead of entertainment, they delivered threats: buy this from us and do what we tell you or there will be consequences. The urgency was absolute and palpable, but then came the Ukraine war and the pressure went up to 11. During the first month of the war, the entire West’s diplomatic corps was fully engaged in threats against the ‘rest of the world’ to engineer the isolation of Russia. This didn’t work, which resulted in panic in political and diplomatic circles in the US and Europe.

All this pressure through the years, and all the fear and panic when it didn’t work, are clearly related to the events in the Ukraine. They are a part of the same ‘syndrome’ and have the same cause.

The debt dimension

There have been many explanations for what is going on and the most common is the fight between two possible futures; a multipolar world where there are several power centers in the world, and a unipolar world where the West governs the world. This is correct as far as it goes, but there is another reason which explains why this is happening now and all the urgency and panic in the West.

Recently the New Zealand tech guru Kim Dotcom tweeted a thread about the debt situation in the US. According to him all debt and unfunded liabilities of the US exceed the total value of the entire country, including the land. This situation is not unique to the US. Most countries in the West have debt that can only be paid back by selling the entire country and everything it contains. On top of that, most non-western countries are buried in dollar-denominated debt and are practically owned by the same financiers who own the West.

During the last few decades, the economy of the US and Europe has been falsified on a level that is difficult to believe. We in the West have been living far beyond our means and our currencies have been massively overvalued. We have been able to do this through two mechanisms:

1. The first one is the reserve status of the dollar and the semi-reserve status of the euro which have enabled the West to export digital money and receive goods in return. This has created enormous financial power for the West and enabled it to function as a parasite on the world economy. We have been getting a lot of goods for free, to put it mildly.
2. The second falsification mechanism is the increase in debt to a level where we have essentially pawned everything we own, including our houses and lands, to keep up our living standards. We own nothing now when the debt has been subtracted. The debt has long since become unserviceable – far beyond our ability to pay interests on – which explains why the interest rates in the West are in the neighborhood of zero. Any increase would make the debt unserviceable and we would all go formally bankrupt in a day.

On top of all this, the falsification has created artificially strong currencies in the West which has boosted their purchasing power for goods priced in non-western currencies. These mechanisms have also enabled the West to run bloated and dysfunctional service economies where inefficiencies are beyond belief. We have giant groups of people in our economies that not only create no value but destroy value systematically. What maintains the West’s standard of living now is a small minority of productive people, constant debt increase, and parasitism of the rest of the world.

The people who own all this debt actually own everything we think we own. We in the West own nothing at this point – we only think we do. But who are our real owners? We know more or less who they are because they meet every year at the World Economic Forum in Davos along with the western political elites who they also happen to own.

It is clear that our owners have been getting increasingly worried, and their worries have been increasing in sync with the increased pressure applied by the West on the rest of the world, particularly the Independents. During the last Davos meeting, the mood was bleak and panicked at the same time, much like the panic among the western political elites when the isolation of Russia failed.

What is about to happen

The panic of our owners and their politicians is understandable because we have come to the end of the line. We can no longer keep up our living standards by debt increase and parasitism. The debt is reaching beyond what we own as collateral and our currencies are about to become worthless. We will no longer be able to get free stuff from the rest of the world, or pay back our debt – let alone pay interest on it. The entire West is about to go bankrupt and our standard of living is about to go down by a massive percentage. This is what has our owners panicked and they see only two scenarios:

1. In the first scenario most countries in the West, and everything and everyone within them, declare bankruptcy and erase the debt by diktat – which sovereign states are able to do. This will also erase the wealth and political power of our owners.
2. In the second scenario, our owners take over the collateral during the bankruptcy. The collateral is us and everything we own.

It doesn’t take a genius to figure out which scenario was chosen. The plan for the second scenario is ready and being implemented as we speak. It is called ‘The Great Reset’ and was constructed by the people behind the World Economic Forum. This plan is not a secret and can be examined to a certain degree on the WEF website.

The Great Reset is a mechanism for the seizing of all debt collateral which includes your assets, the assets of your city or municipality, the assets of your state, and most corporate assets not already held by our owners.

This asset seizure mechanism has several components, but the most important are the following four:

1. Abolishment of sovereignty: A sovereign (independent) country is a dangerous country because it can choose to default on its debt. The decrease in sovereignty has been a priority for our owners and various schemes have been attempted such as the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership and the Trans-Pacific Partnership. The most successful scheme is undoubtedly the European Union itself.
2. The down-tuning of the economy: The western economy (and indeed the global economy) must be tuned down by a very significant percentage. This down-tuning is necessary because the western economy is massively falsified now and must be taken down to its real level – which may be as low as half of what it is now – or more. The slow takedown has also the purpose of avoiding a sudden crash that would cause massive social unrest which would be a threat to our owners. A controlled takedown is therefore preferable to an uncontrolled crash. This controlled takedown is already happening and has been going on for quite some time. Many examples can be mentioned of this takedown, including the EU and US energy policy which is designed to sabotage the western economy, and the obvious attempts at demand destruction during and after the epidemic, including the fairly bizarre logistical problems which suddenly came out of nowhere.
3. Asset harvesting (you will own nothing and be ‘happy’): All assets that can be considered to be collateral to our private and collective/public debt will be taken over. This is a clearly stated aim of the Great Reset but it is less clear how this would be carried out. Total control of western governments (and indeed all governments) would seem to be necessary for this. That precondition is closer than one might think because most western governments seem to be beholden to Davos at this point. The process will be sold as necessary social restructuring because of an economic crisis and global warming and will result in a massive decrease in living standards for regular people, although not the elites.
4. Oppression: A great many people will not like this and an uprising is a likely response, even if the takedown is done gradually. To prevent this from happening, a social control mechanism is being implemented which will erase personal freedom, the freedom of speech, and privacy. It will also create absolute dependence of the individual on the state. This must be done before the economic takedown can be completed or there will be a revolution. This mechanism is already being implemented enthusiastically in the West as anybody with eyes and ears can see.

Russia, China, and other Independents

How do Russia and China, and the war in Ukraine, factor into all of this? Why all the pressure from the West throughout the years and why all this panic now? Part of the reason for the pressure on the Independents, particularly Russia and China, is simply that they have resisted western hegemony. That is enough for getting on the West’s naughty list. But why the increased pressure in recent years?

The reason is that Russia and China cannot be subjugated through bankruptcy and their assets harvested. They do not have much debt in western currencies which means that the people who own the West through debt do not currently own Russia and China (like they own the West and the indebted ‘third world’) and cannot acquire them through debt. The only way to acquire them is through regime change. Their governments must be weakened by any means, including economic sanctions and military means if necessary -thus the use of Ukraine as a battering ram for Russia and Taiwan for China.

Subjugating Russia and China is an existential issue for our Davos owners because when they take the western economy down, everything else must go down too. If the western economy is taken down and a large economic block doesn’t participate in the downfall, it will be a disaster for the West. The new block will gain massive economic power, and possibly unipolar hegemony of sorts, while the West descends into a feudal Dark Age and irrelevance. Therefore the entire world must go down for the Great Reset to work. Russia and China must be subjugated by any means, as well as India and other stubborn nations.

This is what has fueled the situation we now find ourselves in and will fuel the continuation of World War 3. The western owner-elites are going to war to keep their wealth and power. Everyone who resists must be subjugated so they can follow the West into the planned Great Reset Dark Age.

The reason for the current panic among western elites is that the Ukraine project isn’t going as planned. Instead of Russia being bled on the battlefield, it is Ukraine and the West that bleed. Instead of the Russian economy crashing resulting in Putin’s replacement by a Davos-compatible leader, it is the West’s economy that is crashing. Instead of Russia being isolated, it is the West that is being increasingly isolated. Noting is working, and to top it all off, Europe has given the Russians the means and motive to destroy the European economy by partly shutting down its industry. Without Russian resources, there is no European industry, and without industry, there are no taxes for paying for unemployment benefits, pensions, all the refugees, and pretty much everything else which holds European societies together. The Russians now have the ability to engineer an uncontrolled crash in Europe which is not what Davos planned. An uncontrolled crash might see Davos’s heads roll, literally, and that is causing fear and panic in elite circles. The only solution for them is to move on with World War 3 and hope for the best.

What to do

The Great Reset of the world economy is the direct cause of World War 3 – assuming that is what is going on. What can be done about this? From inside the West, little can be done. The only way is to somehow remove Davos from the equation, but that is most likely not going to happen for two reasons: The first one is that the Davos great resetters are too entwined in the western economy and politics. Davos is like an octopus with its arms and suckers inside every country’s elite circles, media, and government. They are too entrenched to be easily removed. The second reason is that the western population is too brainwashed and ignorant. The level of their brainwashing is such that a large part of them actually want to become poor – although they use the word ‘green’ for ‘poor’ because it sounds better. There are, however, some indications that there may be divisions within western elites. Some of them, particularly within the US, may be resisting the primarily Europe-designed Great Reset – but whether this opposition is real or effective remains to be seen.

However, outside the West, there are certain measures that can be taken and must be taken. Some of those measures are drastic and some of them are being done as we speak. Among the measures are the following:

1. The Independents, led by Russia, China, and India, must create a block to isolate themselves from the radioactive West. This isolation must not only be economic, but also political and social. Their economic systems must be divorced from the West and made autonomous. Their cultures and history must be defended against western influences and revisionism. This process appears to be underway.
2. The Independents must immediately ban all western sponsored institutions and NGOs in their countries, regardless of whether they are sponsored by western states or individuals. Furthermore, they must ban all media receiving western sponsorship and strip every school and university of western sponsorship and influence.
3. They must leave all international institutions up to and possibly including the United Nations because all international bodies are controlled by the West. They must then replace them with new institutions within their block.
4. They must, at some point, declare the dollar and the euro currencies non grata. That means that they should declare default on all debts denominated in these currencies, but not other debts. This will most likely come at a later stage but is inevitable.

This will create a situation where the West will descend into darkness without pulling others down with it – if we manage to escape the nuclear fire.

TOP GUN - A PORTEND OF THE FUTURE

 So, as you might guess, I do not get out that much.  I would much rather record things on this blog than hit the theaters for some good old Hollywood Great and Spacious entertainment.

I believe in putting my money where my mouth is and my mouth is no where near Hollywood.... other than to rip on what it has become; a cesspool of every kind.

But, I am a child of the 80's and I believe I saw some version of Ferris Buehler's Day Off and other classics like Top Gun (although, I think our local theatre played the spliced versions of the films because when I later looked at both of those, the language was atrocious).  The only way I can watch it today is on Vidangel, where the worst of the language and the sex/nudity is cut out.  We love Vidangel...

In the original Top Gun, it was not super realistic and I just love tearing the film apart with the poor directing and editing.  The story line is classic, though.  Even with all that, it is still a movie that I can watch over and over again.

The new one is intense from start to finish and it seems pretty realistic from many standpoints.  It was also relatively devoid of sex and a constant stream of bad language.  Quite a feat for a movie involving the Navy.

The stuff that scared me the most was that it is clearly a propaganda piece designed to prepare the minds of the masses to accept an attack on Iran (whether it is us, or Israel).  Iran is the only nation that still has operational F-14 Tomcats (the planes that were used in the original Top Gun).  They were sold to Iran back before the Ayatollah Khomeini and Iran Hostage Crisis in the late '70's happened.  They have been keeping them operational because they are amazing planes and it is all they have from the West.  Anything else they might have would have to come from Russia or China since they came online post Cold War.

Clearly, the site that was under attack was depicting the uranium enrichment site in Iran.  The defensive missile batteries were the S-400 and now the S-500 systems that Russia supplies and that are not really possible to defend against because they are that good.  I am not really sure how our 5th generation fighters stack up against what Russia and China are now putting out.  I know we currently cannot defend against China's ship-killer missiles and China has managed to steal enough hypersonic missile tech that we now are up a creek without a paddle in that arena.  We also have no true defenses against the Russian nukes once they are at apogee because one ICBM can release up to ten individual warheads, each of which is individually steerable (and have guidance radar to detect interceptors) as they coast into their target and no longer rely on an expected ballistic profile, as with the old previous gen tech.

With the nuclear doctrine being modified by Clinton, that changed from MADD to "absorb the first strike, then used what is left to retaliate", we were sold out by those children of hell.  That may have been okay on a temporary basis for anything coming out of any parts of the former Soviet Union that may have gone rogue, due to instability - but it is no longer valid since power was consolidated and all missiles were then accounted for.  Under the existing crappy doctrine, the Russians and Chinese know that they need to do a ground burst with a big enough bomb to cause a column of dust and debris to rise to 60,000 feet and then anything we try to launch into that cloud (if the communications, etc are not already down and it is even possible), will cause the nose cones to erode and, at boost speeds, plasma will enter the missile body and knock out guidance systems or just melt the airframe and the missile will break up.  This very thing is what took out the shuttle over Texas.  Plasma forming at those speeds will do in virtually anything.  This is what is depicted in the first part of the movie when the test article is taken to Mach 10+.

So, the average American walks away from that thinking patriotic thoughts and chanting "USA, USA!!" while not realizing we are sitting ducks and we have indeed fallen behind in critical areas.  Provoking the USA in an attack on Taiwan and a possible simultaneous S. Korea attack with us responding by sending many carrier groups over there and into a trap is foolhardy.  They can take them all out.  The Chinese have been practicing in drills in their west deserts with full-sized representations of our aircraft carriers.  They know what they are doing while those who have sold out in the military turn a blind eye, with our complicit clown asshat sellout in the whorehouse.

When you suddenly see Iran/N.Korea/Taiwan go hot in conjunction with what we already have in the Ukraine, you know that it is finally going down and can expect attacks soon on the mainland in the USA in order to take down command and control and create the greatest possible confusion.

It WILL happen, just as prophesied.  I will be watching the nay-sayers with interest as they attempt to spin the reality that has now become their nightmare.  Same thing with real food insecurity as the drought in the Southwest and the Imperial Valley worsens, rolling brownouts and coupon rations of certain things begin to set in.  At some point, it will be a little to little, a little too late.

A FOLLOW-ON TO RAINBOW RANT - EXCELLENT COMMENT

 Some things, I simply cannot say better, so here goes (thanks, Arnold!):

The most salient statement is that the gospel had been restored by JS Jr. and for the last time prior to the Savior's return. No problem here, it is just that people will conjure what a prophet is to be like. Prophets and other leaders of the LDS Church are not super human, all knowing and they are prone to their own prejudices and belief system. We saw this with some in leadership, J Golden and one or two others were in support of John Koyle and the leadership was vehemently against him. J. Golden had personal experience with Koyle in the mission field and knew to trust in his visions, or dreams. When Saul turned against David in the Bible, David did not want to kill or harm Saul. There was the episode in the cave where a weary Saul, in his trek to capture or destroy David, had rested and David had the opportunity to take his life and he didn't because Saul was still the Lords anointed. We have the example of Eli, the prophet who mentored the prophet Samuel, had permitted his sons to abuse those going to offer sacrifice. Eli's sons were later killed in warfare, Eli died of shock of the loss of the ark. https://www.churchofjesuschrist.org/study/ensign/2002/06/eli-and-his-sons?lang=eng The Lord moves in his own timing. Are people going to have the faith to hang on when the damaged ones begin to cause members to question the efficacy of these vaxes that were defended by the Corp of the President. It is just more challenges to our faith that we have to deal with in this life. Now we see a popular acceptance of BYU support of LGBT or whatever, thinking they are reinforcing their love and support for them for them. - note: LGBers will certainly feel more comfortable to act upon their feelings. (it is called human nature folks) In fact, little do most of these supporters realize that this movement reinforces all perversions that the establishment wants to promote, even to reinforce the movement of teaching children about all things sexual, drag queens in school at reading time the whole thing. But they will not believe that such and such is possible in their children's school.

A RAINBOW RANT

The last few weeks have been really trying for me.

I obviously do not like where the world is headed.  I would not want to be raising kids in today's world, as it is toxic to the innocence of little children.  I can only imagine how God feels about sending His children from a perfect, heavenly realm down to this cesspool.  And I say that while living in "Leave it to Beaver" land.  I cannot fathom being in a city where things are exponentially more spiritually chaotic and debased.  I guess this is by design, so that the men and the boys are separated and those who can no longer take it, only want to establish Zion and are driven into the arms of her (so to speak).  We were driven here by circumstance.  So will many who end up in cities of light as refugees; driven to them by spiraling world events.

The whole rainbow agenda being shoved upon little kids is more than I can bear.  And more and more often, I find myself actually fighting with "members" of the Lord's church over the issue.  Many confuse the mandate to love everyone with the call to "embrace" what they think and do.  This, of course, is pure rubbish.  In the USA, we have standards of civilization.  If you ever wonder about them, go to another second or third world country and drive around or observe what goes on in the middle of the night.  Everywhere else I have been, bars on windows and glass cemented into the tops of fences is required to hold the criminal element at bay.  Even on the poor houses; it is not a class thing.  In N. America, it is implied that what you have worked for is yours.  Other countries, not so much.  What you can take is often yours...  You constantly have to be on the lookout for you and yours due to elements that would kidnap and extort you.  Thankfully, it is known that missionaries and backpackers are poor and likely have nothing to extort from, so they are left alone.  Driving standards are freakish in many other countries.  The joke was that you were safer on the street than on the sidewalks in Brazil.  Though, I admit when my wife was in serious labor in the car, I did drive on the sidewalk near UW Hospital to get my wife to the hospital she wanted to deliver at, during rush hour....

For these reasons and many others, we have fences to keep people out that do not hold the same standards.  We exclude individuals who may think that walking into a crowd of people with an explosive belt, is just fine and dandy.  We simply have to put them through a vetting process before they can have any influence on our society.  I had to do the same thing coming into Canada.  Even coming across the border as a visitor required vetting; no unresolved misdemeanors or ANY felonies at all would exclude even a visit.  So we raise standards and stick to them.  

When there is pushback by Conservatives (people that want to conserve time-honored values such as "Thou shalt not kill" or "Thou shalt not steal", etc), it is in the best interest of holding back the tides and shifting sands of value creep or erosion.  We would never think it a good thing if the Mexican government decided it needed a 250 mile swath of our southern section of the country and they just went in and took it by force.  That would be ludicrous.  So, why - when we have gone thousands of years of civilized and time-proven living - would we ever suddenly say it is okay to throw all of those things that ensured continuity of our species away?  It would be stupid - unless there were some overly compelling reason to do so.  I maintain that there is not such a reason.

Gay sex (male or female) is never a bolstering thing for society.  Society needs an average of 2.4 kids per mating pair to keep up with adolescent deaths, etc.  If half of the society drank the purple kool-aid and went tranny or gay, that number would jump to 4.8 kids for those who understand basic human biology and know that the pH and sterility is a little off in the poop-chute for life to take off....  We are already struggling to keep it at the lower average, so unless we went backwards to an agrarian society with little to no birth control possibilities, that upper number simply would not be possible.  Heck, we had five kiddos and that dropped to four after the first year was taken into account.  My youngest just possibly had Covid and threw up for her first time in I do not recall how long, and I told her not to die on us, as we are trying to keep our average to adulthood north of 60%.  I have to say that I was a little protective of her and checked on her every half hour, since I meant that seriously...

So, excepting China or India or Africa (okay, as the cradle of the AIDs crisis, not a problem there so much...), why would we do anything that would diminish our ability to replenish society?  It would be stupid....  Heck, in Japan, Russia and certain other countries, there is a major push to keep the boxsprings creaking in support of a nationalistic population drive, while not resorting to unbridled immigration to do so.

The pushback to this ludicrous agenda is imperative.  Not to persecute or hound those who have fallen into sin.  Simply to state that it is a sin and a behavior that is NOT encouraged, if not only for the reason that it is a public health concern with the average age of the gay male in the middle 50's while the rest of the population is up in the mid to upper 70's.  If you love your brother and care about longevity of life, etc then encourage a healthy and normal lifestyle.  Everyone says that depression in that demographic is caused by the lack of acceptance by their non-gay peers.  I say it is not.  I say it is from unfulfilling relationships that in their heart of hearts will not lead to true joy and true happiness that are fruits of having offspring that carry your own traits and quirks, a loving relationship with one that fits you anatomically and that you are not living a lie (trying to live like nothing is wrong when your square peg is repeatedly attempted to be pounded into a round hole).  We all know when it is a sham (like my friend who gave up his religion after being a Bishop and is now trying to convince himself that a godless life is the only life) and we are miserable when it is a sham.  Thus all of the fighting against those whose values diverge.  The gal who got knocked up after a one-night stand and trying to believe that it was really love and trying to make the relationship work and (often) trying to create the illusion that the kid is loved every bit as much as one who was conceived in a truly loving relationship.  Depression comes often from living a lie - or better put; from trying to justify something that is impossible to justify and resolve in one's mind.  The only salve from this conundrum is to humble oneself and lay the sin or irreconcilable condition or lie at the feet of the One whose right and calling it is to resolve the irreconcilable.  That is Jesus; and the salve is known as repentance.

And this is my call to the whole rainbow mess.  It will do more to resolve the obvious mental illness that is a fully-grown male attempting to shave his whole body and dress up in a dress, with loads of makeup and fake breasts strapped on prancing down a walkway or reading a book during tranny reading hour in the local library.  Seriously, this is absolutely mentally ill.  If I were to put together a costume and make myself look like a St. Bernard and go out on all fours on a leash with my wife walking me, and barking and chasing every cat I saw, then coming back and eating and drinking out of a stainless steel bowl on the floor by the back door, they would commit me....  Is the whole tranny thing much different?  My hell....  Literally, living in this society is my hell.

I guess I might be a little more numb than normal to this crap until I got charge over a little four year old boy in our Primary class that is just so cute and so pure and so innocent.  Those eyes just looking up at you with trust just does something that even my own kids did not do.  The thought of some pervie reading to him on the ins and outs of masturbation and how two guys go at it in one year in a library without his parents knowledge (yes this has been done to kindergardners) just fills me with all sorts of indignation.  Yes, let's throw this icon of innocence under the bus so that he can enjoy a 28% reduction in lifespan with the freak/clown driving that hellish bus....  In some circles (if I were to sell a tonic with lead or arsenic in it, that led to reducing someone's lifespan significantly), it would be classified as attempted murder or something extremely agregious.

Instead of encouraging debauchery and life and joy-limiting options, let's encourage repentance with love for the person who is struggling - while being repulsed by the sin.  This is all that is required of any of us.  This is the mandate from the very God of Love.

STAY IN THE BOAT AND HIT THE SWEET SPOT

 This is relevant advice for our current situation.  My good wife has always held the position that we were given two juxtaposed things (just as Eve was in the Garden) and those who were too lazy or not close enough to the Spirit took the wrong que.  We were told by our leader to not trust in man, but to learn to "Hear Him!"; even bypassing the notions that the world and even trusted servants would pass onto us.  Most did not, instead choosing to pharisaically attack those who heard an entirely different message.  Others did Hear Him, but chose to attack and ridicule those who did get the shit (oops, got my vowels mixed up...), and were not very Christlike.  That included/s me.  I have had quite a bit of fun on Socialist Media...  So, there were two camps and neither (in general) could probably be lauded for the correct response.  This is pretty typical in any major decision including those who chose to crucify Christ and likely thought they were doing everyone else a favor by throwing Him to the curb to protect their way of life.  Just a classic situation; with eternal consequences.

Heck, if I had to come up with a laboratory with some scenarios that would push a person to the limits and test their resolve and character, this earth experience would be it.  It is a war out there where family members are pitted against each other (where the values have diverged), nation against nation, and where the very gGods are at war; a war that has clearly spilled over into this sphere of existence.  The only question we have to ask ourselves each and every day is whether we are on the right side of the issues.  With things like abortion, health freedom, the pursuit of money vs having sufficient for our needs, sexual wants beyond the bounds the Lord has set while still wrestling with our needs as sexual beings, the embibing in the intoxicating liquer of power, when just enough to maintain personal autonomy will suffice; these are all the things we have to grapple with in this fallen world.

In the end, do we hit the sweet spot?  Or do we go too far afield?  Or fall horribly short?  It truly is a game of just simply hitting the sweet spot.  It is simply something we must grapple with our entire lives and the test that makes us material that will be comfortable associating with the Gods through the eternities.  They have mastered this question.  This is why we have scriptures; to provide these examples like Abraham and even Joseph Smith who were those who were able to hit that sweet spot and find themselves in good company with others who did the same and who now wield true power that comes through moderation and control.  Power that those who have it, can truly say that they can wield properly and with care.  This commentary from FB:

A CAUTIONARY TALE – STAY IN THE BOAT!

Recently, I have been speaking to a few friends (who have also told me that there are many more) that take certain scriptures as “proof” that the Church, under the direction of President Nelson, is “out of order” and needs to be set aright. They don’t believe that President Nelson is inspired and is not directing the Church the way the Lord wants. They have even gone so far as to claim that ALL of the First Presidency and Quorum of the Twelve are being deceived and are not doing the Lord’s will.

One such scripture is found in Isaiah 28:7:

“But they also have erred through wine, and through strong drink are out of the way; the priest and the prophet have erred through strong drink, they are swallowed up of wine, they are out of the way through strong drink; they err in vision, they stumble in judgment.”

And this one found in Doctrine and Covenants 85:7:

“And it shall come to pass that I, the Lord God, will send one mighty and strong, holding the scepter of power in his hand, clothed with light for a covering, whose mouth shall utter words, eternal words; while his bowels shall be a fountain of truth, to set in order the house of God, and to arrange by lot the inheritances of the saints whose names are found, and the names of their fathers, and of their children, enrolled in the book of the law of God;”

I have been greatly concerned by these conversations and especially by a willingness to take one or two scriptures out of context as “proof” of something they want to believe is true, but is contrary to the foundational truths of the gospel. I don’t know how many in this group may sympathize or even believe as some of what my friends believe, but I there are some, I sincerely hope that a few things that I have felt impressed to share may help you.

First, the Savior prophesied: “For false Christs and false prophets shall rise, and shall shew signs and wonders, to seduce, IF IT WERE POSSIBLE, even the elect. But TAKE YE HEED: BEHOLD, I HAVE FORTOLD YOU ALL THINGS. (Mark 13:22-23)

Why is it not possible for the elect to be deceived? Because they will have the Spirit and will not be dissuaded, although many will be. Also, I feel that the Savior FORTOLD us these things that we may not be alarmed when we see them happening and know that He is yet at the helm.

BUT HOW DO WE AVOID BEING ONE OF THOSE THAT ARE CAUGHT UP IN THESE THINGS?

First, I think we need to make sure that we are grounded in what I like to call Foundational Truths.  A Foundational Truth is something we can hold onto as the bedrock of the gospel that will never change. One of these truths is that when Joseph Smith restored the gospel in its fullness with all the priesthood keys and authority, it was restored FOR THE LAST TIME – meaning that there will NEVER AGAIN be a complete apostacy. A loss of ALL priesthood keys by the First Presidency and Quorum of the Twelve is the ONLY way that a complete apostacy could occur.

So how do we know that this won’t happen again?

Daniel prophesied that after all of the kingdoms he saw in his vision rose and fell, there would finally arise a kingdom that would NEVER be destroyed.

“And in the days of these kings shall the God of heaven set up a kingdom, which shall never be destroyed: and the kingdom shall not be left to other people, but it shall break in pieces and consume all these kingdoms, and it shall stand for ever.”

Furthermore, the Lord again confirmed and reiterated this to His prophet Joseph F Smith. Speaking of his vision where he saw so many of the ancient and faithful prophets in D&C 138, he says, speaking of Daniel:

“Daniel, who foresaw and foretold the establishment of the kingdom of God in the latter days, never again to be destroyed nor given to other people;” (D&C 138:44)

It is interesting that of all the things that President Smith could have used to describe Daniel, this is what he chose, as if to cement in the gospel cannon that this restoration IS THE LAST TIME.

Finally, In Gospel Topics under “Apostasy” it states: “But unlike the Church in times past, The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints will not be overcome by general apostasy. The scriptures teach that the Church will never again be destroyed.

“Although there WILL NOT BE ANOTHER GENERAL APOSTACY from the truth, we must each guard against personal apostasy.”

One of the reasons why these conversations have been disconcerting to me, is that I have had not one but two brushes with apostate groups in my past that have given me a personal and up-close look at not just the final end, but more importantly the BEGINNING STAGES of these groups. Satan doesn’t reinvent the wheel very often, but will use the same patterns over and over – Why? Because in this way “…the devil cheateth their souls, and leadeth them away carefully down to hell” (2 Nephi 28:21)

This first experience happened in my 20s when there was a group in Manti that were taking their members into the Manti Temple after hours for perform their own Second Anointings. My dad was the Temple president at the time, and of necessity got involved. Much of what I learned about this group came from the numerous interviews he conducted with their followers.

The second experience happened in my 30s when my first wife got involved with a group that believed that more reformations needed to be made to restore the Relief Society to its true order and purpose as being equal in authority to the priesthood. These women believed that their leader was the true eternal companion to Joseph Smith, and therefore it was her right to make these reformations.

In BOTH of these groups, no one started out thinking right away that they were joining the group to leave the Church. But the VERY FIRST STEP in the road to apostacy began with questioning if the living prophet was truly inspired and doing the Lord’s will. Both groups felt THEY KNEW MORE than the living prophet and it was up to them to set the Church aright.

Each of these groups firmly believed that as they remained faithful to THEIR teachings, as they saw them, the Lord would set things in order and correct the Church to go more to their way of thinking. However, sadly and inevitably that day never came.  By the time they realized this, these followers were far too steeped and too committed to these altered teachings to turn back. Then came Satan’s Bombshell! “President Benson/President Hinkley/President Nelson (whatever the current prophet was at that time) is a FALLEN PROPHET and the Church has fallen into COMPLETE Apostacy! The only way we can save it is to break off and form our own.”

And at last, the total deception is complete and these once innocent and sincere followers of Christ have been led “carefully down to hell.” With them, I saw in both instances, lives destroyed, families destroyed, and most important of all – eternal destinies forever altered!

SO HOW ARE THESE SCRIPTURES TO BE FULFILLED IF NOT THROUGH APOSTACY OF THE CHURCH?

This is the question I was asked in one form or another over and over. And the answer is that yes, they will be fulfilled to the letter, just as all prophecies that come from the Lord, but almost guaranteed that they will NOT be fulfilled in the way that we think. This is why we must be so careful to not try to second guess the Lord in how He will fulfill the prophecies He has made. The Lord is certainly capable of doing His own work.

One thing that we can rely on with iron clad faith is that the Lord’s relationship with this Church is a COVENANT relationship! He is the Bridegroom and the Church is the bride. While the Church absolutely MUST transform to become a bride worthy to be in His presence and this may require putting some things “in order” (D&C 85:7), He will NEVER abandon that effort, break His own covenant, and go searching for a new bride/church.

In the days ahead, we will be SORELY tested. Our faith may be tried and we may even feel as if the Lord has forsaken His Church or forsaken this burgeoning Zion, but here is His glorious promise to us in Isaiah 49:

14 But Zion said, The LORD hath forsaken me, and my Lord hath forgotten me.

15 Can a woman forget her sucking child, that she should not have compassion on the son of her womb? yea, they may forget, yet will I not forget thee.

16 Behold, I have graven thee upon the palms of my hands; thy walls are continually before me.

I hope we can all follow the great inspirational words of President Ballard to “stay in the boat.” Great spiritual storms are coming and we will need the protection of the Lord, His counsel to His living prophet, and the great blessings from the temple more than ever before!

NATIVE AMERICAN PODCAST - NATIVE POWER

 I am very excited to be doing a podcast about the Gathering of Ancient Israel and how that knowledge strengthens my belief in and love of the Savior.  I ran into a gal who is partly Navajo and reached out to her.  She spotlights people of that bloodline and brings them onto her show to share their testimonies.

I plan on talking about 3 Nephi 21 and the prophecies that are YET to be fulfilled among that (my) people.  We just have to be patient.  I have been reviewing what occurred at Walker Lake in 1890.  Some very poignant event happened there (the following from an ealier post from 2013):

I have always been intrigued by the year 1890.  It seems to have been a pivotal year in our history - one in which it appears the final nails were driven into the coffin of true American freedom.  Many who will read this piece have probably never heard about Wovoka or thought much about the connections between him and the horror that happened at Wounded Knee.  Many would much less see any connection whatsoever to what happened when Wilford Woodruff was forced to sign the manifesto and a promise given to Joseph Smith about whether he would live to be an old man, or whether he would be taken early; and a seal placed against those who murdered one of the finest men to walk the face of this earth.

I hope to be able to pull this all together on this piece:
  

DESERET NEWS November 18, 1890 - The newspapers of the whole country carried many stories of the event during 1890, including the Deseret News. But there were few who really believed it. They called it "the Messiah Craze" among the Indians. Never the less, it received wide attention in the nation’s press because of the Indian problems it created. The Indians were so agitated on at least 16 tribal reservations that General Miles of the U.S. Army found it necessary to make a tour of all army installations in and near these reservations, to see what could be done about all this agitation over an Indian Messiah.
This so—called "Messiah Craze" had become the inspiration for Chief Sitting Bull to believe that he could arouse the Indians to another victory greater than the destruction of Custer’s forces at the Little Big Horn, for the Messiah had promised them that the Whites should be destroyed from off this land, and the land would be given back to the Indians, from whom the Whites had so unfairly taken it, and had broken so many treaties concerning payment for it.  In fact, certain government agents found it necessary to have Chief sitting Bull "accidentally" killed to put a stop to his Indian Messiah activities.
In the Deseret News for Nov. 7, 1890, a St. Paul dispatch is quoted under the title of "Indian Messiah,’ as follows: "General Miles is here on his return from his Western tour. He says: ‘I have been in Utah, Montana and Cheyenne Reservations, investigating. You have no doubt heard that Indian tribes are reported to believe that the Messiah has come, who is to restore them to their former glory. . and drive the Whites from the land. I have learned that this belief exists among sixteen tribes. There is no doubt that many Indians who are holding this belief in the Indian Messiah are sincere, and a few have certainly seen some person on whom they look to be that Messiah.
"‘Several small parties of Indians have gone from their tribes to some point in Nevada. There they have been shown somebody disguised as the Messiah and have spoken with him. I am inclined to believe that there is more than one person impersonating this Messiah, as when the Sioux have spoken with him, he replied in the Sioux language. . . and so on, with the representatives of each nation.
"General Miles gave his opinion ’that the Mormons are prime movers in it. It is noteworthy, (says he) that this so—called Messiah tells Indians that when he comes to reign over them, firearms will no longer be used, that he will draw a line behind, which he will gather all Indians, and then he will roll the earth back upon the Whites. This has naturally excited the Indians and large numbers have accepted the new belief.  None is more ardent than Chief Sitting Bull, who is intensely Indian in all his ideas. .The argument Indians use is: "The Whites have had their Messiah, and the Indians NOW have theirs."’"
In the Deseret News for Nov. 8, 1890, an article dated Nov. 4th, taken from a Kansas City dispatch from Ft. Reno, Special, quotes Sitting Bull as follows:
"The Messiah said He had come to save the White Man, but they had persecuted Him, and now He had come to deliver the long tormented Indians. .All day Christ instructed them and gave them evidence of His powers.  He, Sitting Bull, told his people His story, and asked that Porcupine (one of the Twelve) be sent for to verify it.  He (Porcupine) returned with the same tale and presumably all were convinced.
"We have a large number of extracts from the different newspapers (says the editor) on the subject of , ‘The Indian Christ’, claiming to embody the assertions of the aborigines who state they have seen the Messiah and heard Him talk. .That a personage exhibiting super— natural powers has shown Himself...That He showed the marks of spikes having been driven through His hands. He had offered to save the Whites, and they had refused to accept Him, and now the day of the Indians, who are to be restored to ownership of the land, had come. He also taught them to be honest, peaceful, cleanly, and to give up all bad habits." The editor adds: ‘To say the least, it is a wonderful movement, and one is puzzled in endeavoring to account for it.
"He sternly denies General Miles suggested idea that the Mormons are connected with this event: ‘Indeed many Mormons are themselves conjecturing as to the meaning of this extraordinary agitation among the aborigines, and are puzzled to know what it means.’"
About the only official Mormon reaction we find, comes from Susa Young Gates, editor of the "Young Women’s Journal," Vol. 1:477--- "Few, if any, of our leading Brethren doubt the probability, of a certain, if exaggerated, foundation for these stories. Our Lord is evidently setting His hand to prepare the scattered remnants of Israel for the great events about to take place.’
There are other articles about the Indian Messiah in the Desert News for Nov 10, 1890, and Nov.. 18th, and Dec. 16th and 17th, 1890. —Also many more of them in the Deseret Weekly of this period, and in the "Contributor," Vol. 12:114, and several in Vol. 52 of the "Millennial Star, which will not all be given here. But of special interest is the one in the Deseret News, for No,. 18, 1890, quoting from a Chicago dispatch of Nov. 17, 1890. ,
"General Miles has received from the Post—Adjutant. at Ft. Custer, Montana, a report of Lt. Robertson, who carefully investigated the new religious craze at the Cheyenne Agency. His talks were principally with Porcupine, Apostle of the new religion among the Cheyenne, and with Big Beaver, who accompanied Porcupine on his visit to the new Christ at Walker Lake, Nevada... Porcupine told him that there were several hundred Indians at Walker Lake at the time, including representatives of the Cheyenne, Sioux, Arapahoes, Gros-Ventres, Utes, Navajos, Bannocks, and other strange tribes, —some were white, from a far distance that he did not know."

Apostle Porcupine's Sermon

Millenial Star August 18, 1890, Volume 52:532-535.  Eye-witness account of F.K. Upham "It tells how a very righteous young Indian by the name of Porcupine from the Cheyennes was, like certain wise men of the East, inspired to make this long pilgrimage to Walker Lake, Nevada, to see their Messiah.  He was accompanied by his wife and two other Indians, and, like the wise men of the East, they were very content with the high reward of their journey, for they had seen the Christ!"

"It was possibly in the vicinity of Walker Lake or Pyramid Lake in Nevada.  It was in the Mountains where Porcupine found himself with many strange Indians whose language he could not speak, and who, like himself, had come from afar off, - but all had come to see the Christ.

"At sundown the Indians collected in large numbers, and after it became dark He appeared to them, - a large fire being built to throw the light on him.  He was not as dark as an Indian nor as light as a white man, and his dress was partly like each. He sat for a long time in perfect silence, with his head bowed, during which time the Indians never moved nor spoke.  They were told that if they even whispered, the Christ would know it and be displeased .

"After a time He raised His head, and then Porcupine saw that he was fair to look upon, that His face had no beard, and was youthful, and that His bright hair extended to His waist.

"Porcupine had heard that the Christ of the white man had been nailed to the cross, and looking he was able to see the scars of the nails in the hands of the Indian's Christ when he raised them.  In His feet he could not see the marks of the nails by reason of the moccasins, but he was told they were there, and that in His side were spear marks which were concealed by the shirt He wore.

"Porcupine was told that His own coming had, with eleven others, been foretold by the Christ, who had sent for them, and that was why he had involuntarily taken the long journey...

"The Christ spoke to them and took Porcupine by the hand, and told them that they were all His children.  He talked to them until it was day, telling them that He had made them, and all the things around them; that in the beginning God had made the Earth, and after a time had sent Him on the earth to teach the people what was right; but the people were afraid of Him, and 'this is what they did to Me.' showing the scars.

"He said, when He found that the children were bad, He went back above, and promised to return after many hundred years.  Now the time was up and God had told Him the earth was old and worn out, and had sent Him again to renew it and make things better.  He said that all the dead were to be resurrected and brought back to life on this earth, which was too small to hold them all; but He would do away with Heaven and make the earth large enough to hold them all.

"He spoke about fighting, that it was bad, and that Indians must not do it anymore; that the earth hereafter was to be all good and everybody must love one another.

"He said He would send among them those who could heal wounds and cure the sick by the laying on of the hands, and that the good would live here forever, and the buffalo would come back.

"He said it was wrong to kill men of any kind, that if any man disobeyed these teachings, he would be banished from the face of the earth; that the Indians must believe all that He now told them, and not say that He lied, for He would know their thoughts, no matter what part of the world they were in, and they could not expect to deceive Him.

"Among those whom Porcupine saw were some who seemed like white men, but they all seemed good--and all listened and believed what the Christ said to them.

"During Porcupine's stay of many days, the Christ several times repeated these talks and told the Indians that when they returned to their people they must tell them all these things.  But He was not all the time visible, and could disappear at will. 'He is here among us tonight and knows all that we are talking about!' said Porcupine. ' - I am sorry to say there are one or two Cheyennes who do not believe what I have said, I wish these and some of you would go back with me and see that I have spoken the truth.  When you have seen Christ once, you can see Him in your sleep, that is, if you have shaken His hand; and through Him you can go to heaven and see your friends who are dead.  I see Him often in my sleep and He told me there was trouble for the Cheyennes.  The next night He came to me and told me that all would be well in the end."

NATIVE AMERICAN MUSIC NAVAJO

 This is amazing stuff!

Take a listen.  It will likely stir you:

https://youtu.be/idSCW3WOFLE

I lost the link for a while, but found it again.  So happy!

BISHOP KOYLE’ S PROPHECY BEING FULFILLED

 This is interesting analysis.  They say it will take 2-3 years to get the grain supply ironed back out.  That was a massive assumption that includes average or above average harvests for the next several years.

It also is based on the notion that war will not ravage major grain production centers over the next few years or the next decade.  Things are about to get interesting with Russia with Putin advisors asking him to hit the West’s bases in Europe that the weapons are heading to the Ukraine 

North America, Argentina, Brazil seen well positioned as 2022 fertilizer scarcity may turn to 2023 food shortages

Posted on May 8, 2022

Fertilizer demand will remain strong as farmers across the world race to get nutrients for their corn, sugar, wheat and other crops, with pending decisions in China expected by mid-year on whether to resume exports playing a key role in the uncertainty over supplies, North American fertilizer executives recently said.

Image courtesy of Pixel1 - Pixabay

North American farmers have secured all fertilizer needed to increase production, other than some rail disruptions that came as domestic orders surged with farmers seeking to cash on recent sharp increases in food prices.

Third world countries not as organized and who rely on fertilizer imports may need to resort in 2023 to more grain imports from North America, Argentina, Brazil, and to a lesser degree India and Australia, executives from leading North American fertilizer producer CF Industries said.

Fertilizer production capacity coming online may bring relief later in 2022, one executive from Mosaic wrote in a report.

The Russia-Ukraine conflict will keep pressure on fertilizer prices for as long as it lasts. Russian fertilizer exports are constrained by sanctions and costlier shipping. Russia and China restricted fertilizer exports since late last year to give priority to their own agriculture needs.

Argentina, Brazil, U.S.

“Third world countries that are planting non-dollar denominated exportable products probably will have yield impacts that will require food imports. That´s still to happen,” said Bert Frost, senior vice president for sales and market development at CF Industries on May 5, during an earnings discussion.

“Global grains stocks remain extremely low, an issue that has become amplified because of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. We think it will take at least 2-3 years to replenish global grains stocks,” the company said in press release on May 4.

Even countries with organized agriculture industries will face difficulties and pay more for scarce fertilizer supplies.

“The Company believes that fertilizer trade flows to Brazil will be among the most affected by the barriers to export of fertilizer products from Russia, with more than 90% of ammonium nitrate imported into Brazil in recent years having originated from Russia,” CF Industries said.

“Purchasers in Brazil may substitute other nitrogen fertilizers” for ammonium nitrate, it added.

In North America “production returns in 2022 on all crops are forecast to be historically high despite high input costs,” it said.

Urea exports from China are expected to be limited through at least the first half of 2022.

Mosaic sees prices easing

Mosaic, based in Tampa, Florida, mines, produces, and distributes potash, and urea. Andy Jung, Mosaic´s vice president of market and strategic analysis, said in a February report that he sees some fertilizer prices easing.

“For nitrogen, there is a clear path forward to prices trending downward in 2022 as shuttered facilities come back online to add supply to the global market. There is also new capacity slated for commissioning in 2022.  Since nitrogen is a major component of phosphate fertilizers, we should see the lower pricing of nitrogen pass through to phosphate,” Jung said.

Mosaic will bring more supply to cover disruptions at several mines.

Ammonia and sulfur saw on-year price increases of 313% and 194%, respectively in 2021 compared with 2020, he said.

Supply will depend on China, he said. China restricted fertilizer exports late last year. China accounts for between a quarter and a third of global phosphate exports, according to Jung.

CF Industries bullish

CF Industries, based in Deerfield, Illinois, saw a January-March 2022 windfall with a “quarterly record” adjusted EBITDA of $1.65 billion.

The cash enabled dividend hikes, helped redeem debt ahead of maturity, as well as to continue a plan of share re-purchases and even contemplate a net-zero joint venture for a new ammonia plant with carbon capture.

“We expect the global nitrogen supply and demand balance to remain tight for the foreseeable future. Nitrogen demand will continue to be underpinned by the world´s need to replenish global grain stocks,” said Tony Will, CEO of CF Industries, on May 5.

“We believe it will take at least two years and possibly longer to accomplish this,” added Will, CEO of CF Industries.

“We expect nitrogen supply to remain tight with the marginal ton being very high cost. Russia´s invasion of Ukraine has exacerbated both demand and supply situations,” he added.

Global food security challenged

Nutrien, a Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada fertilizer producer, said on May 2 that prices for key crops such as corn, soybean and wheat are 50% to 90% above the ten-year average and that this motivates growers to increase production.

The Food Price Index of the United Nation´s Food and Agriculture Organization, a measure of monthly change in prices of a basket of food commodities, reached an all-time high in March, easing just slightly in April, according to a May 6 press release.

“Food prices remain close to their recent highs, reflecting persistent market tightness and posing a challenge to global food security for the most vulnerable,” said FAO´s economist Maximo Torero.

In 2021 there were some weather events that curbed fertilizer production. Executives anticipated shortages back in Nov. 2021.

By Renzo Pipoli